Stock market

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The recent report indicates that Chinese consumers have been travelling and spending more than they did in the same period of 2019, marking a positive turnaround for the Chinese economy.

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As a result, the Chinese stock markets have witnessed a buoyant return from the Chinese New Year (CNY) break. The CSI 300 index showed positive trends, while the Hang Seng index, despite a robust rebound of up to 5% since last Wednesday, experienced a slight downturn following a less optimistic close in the US last Friday. This came after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for January surprised markets with a significant jump, affecting investor sentiment despite relatively mild sell-offs in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, given the backdrop of concerning inflation figures and their implications for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. US Treasury yields also reacted sharply, with the 2-year yield surpassing 4.70% and the 10-year yield climbing past 4.30%.

Amidst this mixed global financial landscape, concerns loom that rising energy and shipping costs, attributed to tensions in the Red Sea, may yet have a limited impact on inflation in comparison to the potential effects of China's economic resurgence. The People’s Bank of China's decision to keep its Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) rate unchanged was seen as a move to mitigate additional pressure on the yuan and assess the effects of several measures announced earlier in the year. However, the challenges ahead are daunting, considering the loss of $7 trillion from the Chinese equity markets in recent years, which resulted in 66 Chinese companies being removed from the MSCI's global indices.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index struggled to gain momentum despite recent inflation concerns and declining expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, putting pressure on market sentiment. Currency movements also reflected this uncertainty, with the EUR/USD testing resistance levels and the USD/JPY hovering near 150. Japan's economic outlook introduces additional complexities, as recession fears cast doubt on the Bank of Japan's stance on exiting negative interest rates.

Investor attention will also be on upcoming earnings announcements from major US corporations like Walmart, Home Depot, and Nvidia. Nvidia's fourth-quarter earnings, in particular, are highly anticipated due to the company's significant role in the technology sector, especially in the context of the AI boom. The company's performance could be a critical factor for the broader US stock market trajectory.

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The recent report indicates that Chinese consumers have been travelling and spending more than they did in the same period of 2019, marking a positive turnaround for the Chinese economy.

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Yesterday, a new set of inflation data from the United States sent tremors through the financial markets, as it came in stronger than anticipated.

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This development quashed any lingering hopes that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates in the first half of this year. Following the release, the US 2-year yield soared past 4.60%, returning to levels seen before the Federal Reserve hinted at a possible pivot in December, a move that had previously indicated a 75bp rate cut this year. Similarly, the US 10-year yield rebounded to 4.30%.

The market's reaction was swift and stark, as the likelihood of a rate cut in March plummeted, with the odds for a May rate reduction dropping from 56% to approximately 40% in a single trading session. Now, the anticipation has shifted towards June, with a 75% chance being priced in for the first Federal Reserve cut. This marks a significant adjustment in market expectations, which at the beginning of the year had considered an 80% likelihood of a March rate cut.

Equity markets responded negatively to the news, with the S&P500 dropping by 1.37% from an all-time high, and the Nasdaq declining by 1.58%. Small caps, more vulnerable to financing costs, saw a nearly 4% reduction. Some market observers suggest that the data might just be a temporary deviation in the US disinflation trend, cautioning against an overreaction. However, the market, having been buoyed by exaggerated rate cut expectations, now seeks a more balanced position. Analysts believe it would be healthier for both the S&P500 and Nasdaq to consolidate and adjust from their recent gains, to avoid unsustainable valuations.

The future of rate cuts remains uncertain, with the specific timing potentially being decided by economic data as it becomes available. Recent indicators, such as the Atlanta Fed's GDP estimate printing a 3.4% growth for Q1, suggest a stronger-than-expected US economy, complicating the Federal Reserve's decision-making process.

In the currency markets, the US dollar index surged past its 100-day moving average, testing the 105 level. This was propelled by a renewed appreciation for the dollar, as expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve doveish pivot waned. Consequently, gold prices fell below $2000 per ounce, and currency pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY experienced significant movements.

Internationally, inflation reports from other countries brought mixed news. The United Kingdom's inflation for January did not increase as much as anticipated, despite strong jobs data. Conversely, Switzerland reported a surprising deceleration in consumer prices in January, with only a 1.3% rise year-on-year, making the Swiss case a point of envy among central bankers worldwide.

The financial analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya from Swissquote Bank stressed the significant market adjustments following the US inflation data, highlighting its substantial impact on investor expectations and market dynamics.

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Yesterday, a new set of inflation data from the United States sent tremors through the financial markets, as it came in stronger than anticipated.

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State Street Corporation has recently announced a significant upgrade to its Fund Connect ETF portal by enhancing the Application Programming Interface (API) capabilities, extending its services to clients across the globe, including Europe and the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region.

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Previously, the Fund Connect ETF APIs had been accessible in the U.S. and Canada, where they contributed to nearly half of the North American order volumes.

The Fund Connect ETF portal, recognized for facilitating the creation and redemption of ETFs, serves as a crucial access point to numerous issuers. Through its automated order routing solution, the portal offers multi-currency ETF access, providing a seamless link between Authorized Participants (APs), order takers, sub-advisors, and sponsors. This expansion is poised to empower global market participants to scale their operations efficiently, reaping benefits in efficiency gains and risk mitigation offered by the portal’s automated API technology.

Lori Coakley, the global business head of Fund Connect ETF at State Street, expressed the rationale behind the expansion, “This expansion is in response to the growing demand from our valued APs, particularly those in Europe and APAC, who have expressed a strong interest in leveraging State Street’s best-in-class connectivity.” She emphasized, “Not only does this cater to that increasing demand for streamlined and automated ETF creation and redemption processes, but it also further solidifies our position as a leader in the ETF industry.”

The ETF market has experienced significant growth recently, driving the demand for enhanced automation within the creation and redemption framework. Acknowledging this trend, State Street aims to meet the evolving needs of APs by upgrading a key component of State Street’s GlobalLink product suite. With the enhanced API integration, global clients will now be able to directly place orders with funds through their own Order Management Systems (OMS).

Frank Koudelka, global head of ETF Product at State Street, highlighted the significance of this advancement, "The global API connectivity is the next logical step in the continued digitization of our ETF servicing business.” He added, “Close to 100 authorized participants are communicating their create/redeem orders globally on behalf of our ETF clients to State Street via Fund Connect. The continued theme we have heard from them is a desire to communicate system-to-system as opposed to web portals, and Fund Connect is now the first create/redeem portal with fully enabled via APIs across Asia-Pacific, Canada, Europe, and the United States. This further demonstrates the innovations that State Street has brought to the marketplace as the largest global ETF service provider.”

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• Yes

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State Street Corporation has recently announced a significant upgrade to its Fund Connect ETF portal by enhancing the Application Programming Interface (API) capabilities, extending its services to clients across the globe, including Europe and the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region.

Write comment (0 Comments) " ["jcfields"]=> array(9) { [1]=> object(stdClass)#8654 (33) { ["id"]=> int(1) ["title"]=> string(17) "Automatic tagging" ["name"]=> string(17) "automatic-tagging" ["checked_out"]=> NULL ["checked_out_time"]=> NULL ["note"]=> string(0) "" ["state"]=> int(1) ["access"]=> int(1) ["created_time"]=> string(19) "2018-08-29 05:26:30" ["created_user_id"]=> int(2355) ["ordering"]=> int(-1) ["language"]=> string(1) "*" ["fieldparams"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#8332 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#8148 (1) { ["options"]=> object(stdClass)#8150 (2) { ["options0"]=> object(stdClass)#8151 (2) { ["name"]=> string(3) "Yes" ["value"]=> string(1) "1" } ["options1"]=> object(stdClass)#8149 (2) { ["name"]=> string(2) "No" ["value"]=> string(1) "0" } } } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["params"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#8331 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#8146 (6) { ["hint"]=> string(0) 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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(97) "/invest-money/stock-market/state-street-boosts-global-etf-operations-with-enhanced-api-technology" ["image"]=> string(117) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1681707550/Money%20Management/etf-mm_ylrkxj.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(70) "State Street boosts global ETF operations with enhanced API technology" } [3]=> object(stdClass)#8129 (57) { ["id"]=> int(18435) ["title"]=> string(42) "Aussie investors ride the Santa Rally wave" ["alias"]=> string(42) "aussie-investors-ride-the-santa-rally-wave" ["introtext"]=> string(220) "

Investors taking a punt on the Australian share market have had cause for celebration as of late, with the S&P/ASX 200 index climbing 4.5% in November, spurred on by a standout healthcare sector performance.

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Notably, Selfwealth, which touts itself as Australia's premier budget-friendly share trading platform, has been at the heart of this uptick.

With the festive surge, colloquially known as the 'Santa Rally', drawing nearer, market confidence seems to be growing, particularly with the Federal Reserve's navigated 'smooth landing' and the Reserve Bank of Australia potentially halting interest rate hikes amidst easing inflation concerns. "Investors are growing increasingly confident of the Fed Reserve’s smooth landing, and that the RBA could be done hiking rates altogether as inflation retreats," said Robert Marfell, Brand and Content Lead at Selfwealth.

The market optimism is reflected in Selfwealth's report, which details the stocks that have captured investors' interest. Neuren Pharmaceuticals (ASX: NEU) emerged as the darling of the Selfwealth community in terms of collective platform holdings value, justified by a staggering 44.6% leap in shares—making it the second-best performer in the ASX 200 for November.

Commonwealth Bank, BHP (ASX:BHP), CSL (ASX:CSL), and Westpac (ASX:WBC) trailed but remained popular among Selfwealth users. Meanwhile, Qantas (ASX: QAN) reclaimed its top 20 status, surging by nearly 8% as investor confidence revived, catapulting it to the 20th spot. Marfell pointed out the positive sentiment surrounding the airline, remarking, “After considerable challenges affected Qantas’ public image, the airline company saw a resurgence of investor confidence following a trading update at its Annual General Meeting. This renewed trust was evident the total of Selfwealth investors holding QAN increased to 6000 November’s end.”

Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS) retained its crown as the most traded stock on Selfwealth’s platform for the fifth consecutive month, demonstrating a strong buy-to-sell ratio. Marfell added, "Pilbara has always been a favourite for our investors, and it’s perched at top of the trade-volume leader-board for an impressive five consecutive months. It’s doing so with a solid buy-to-sell ratio, too. 63.6% of all trades were buys in November — high conviction considering many outside the Selfwealth community are shorting or selling off for fear of battered lithium prices."

In the biotechnology sphere, Imugene (ASX: IMU) experienced heightened trade activity following upbeat reports from its cancer treatment trials, with Marfell noting, "The news was favoured by Selfwealth investors, with 64.7% of November's trades attributed to new holders or top-ups."

Lastly, the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) maintained pole position as the most traded ETF, with other high-performing funds rounding out the top slots, indicative of a bullish sentiment on US shares for the month.

As festive spirits kindle investment enthusiasm, the Selfwealth report paints a picture of an Aussie market brightly lit by the glow of positive returns and investor confidence.

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Investors taking a punt on the Australian share market have had cause for celebration as of late, with the S&P/ASX 200 index climbing 4.5% in November, spurred on by a standout healthcare sector performance.

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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(69) "/invest-money/stock-market/aussie-investors-ride-the-santa-rally-wave" ["image"]=> string(113) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1702874976/santa-rally-australia_plh72b.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(42) "Aussie investors ride the Santa Rally wave" } [4]=> object(stdClass)#8128 (57) { ["id"]=> int(18429) ["title"]=> string(83) "ClearBridge sees bright prospects for listed infrastructure amid challenging market" ["alias"]=> string(83) "clearbridge-sees-bright-prospects-for-listed-infrastructure-amid-challenging-market" ["introtext"]=> string(174) "

Investors in the listed infrastructure sector might have faced valuation challenges in the past year, but ClearBridge Investments signals a hopeful outlook for 2024.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2940) "

Fundamentals seem to be aligning to suggest that this asset class may soon outshine broader equities.

Nick Langley, a ClearBridge Investments portfolio manager, contends that while listed Infrastructure has been defensive during the valuation downturn, it continues to offer stability in investors' portfolios. "Earnings from the listed infrastructure companies have held up well. However, valuations are off as significant increase in bond yields have adversely affected valuations," Langley explained.

Listed infrastructure assets, such as utilities, have seen their multiples drop noticeably. "Multiples for utility companies, which are at the most defensive end of our investment universe, have come down from 19 times to 16 times. Utility companies in the S&P 500 Index are off about 15% year to date," Langley shared, underscoring the recent performance.

Despite this, Langley emphasizes the inherent strengths of infrastructure investments, such as the ability to pass through costs via regulated mechanisms. "Investors should remember that infrastructure features regulated pass through mechanisms for increasing returns to reflect borrowing costs/inflation and other expenses. That is in process now as concession agreements mandate for recovering increases in costs," he stated.

The rate at which these pass-through mechanisms reflect in earnings can vary across sectors. Toll roads can adjust relatively swiftly, while utilities may take one to two years due to regulatory processes. According to Langley, "Today we are in a position like we were in 2019. We’re seeing higher pass throughs of higher bond yields and allowed returns for companies. We expect that to continue into 2024 and through to 2025."

Reflecting on the past, Langley recounts that a difficult 2018 for valuations preceded a strong 2019 for listed infrastructure, hinting at possible parallels to the current situation. The integration of real assets and inflation pass-through mechanisms positions infrastructure investments as a significant diversifier within a portfolio.

Infrastructure might also be poised to benefit from broader market movements. "From an earnings perspective, assuming we get a slowdown in economic activity into 2024, and that’s looking more and more likely, we continue to see positive earnings revisions for the infrastructure companies, particularly the utilities based on pass through of inflation and growth in their underlying asset basis as we move through the energy transition process," Langley observed.

ClearBridge seems optimistic that infrastructure companies can expect positive earnings revisions in 2024, contrasting with the broader equity market, which may see negative adjustments due to a potential economic slowdown. This differing trajectory could mark listed infrastructure as a domain for investors to watch carefully in the coming year.

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Investors in the listed infrastructure sector might have faced valuation challenges in the past year, but ClearBridge Investments signals a hopeful outlook for 2024.

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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(110) "/invest-money/stock-market/clearbridge-sees-bright-prospects-for-listed-infrastructure-amid-challenging-market" ["image"]=> string(104) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1701906931/nick-langley_tmqwyh.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(83) "ClearBridge sees bright prospects for listed infrastructure amid challenging market" } [5]=> object(stdClass)#8127 (57) { ["id"]=> int(18427) ["title"]=> string(60) "Embrace quality fundamentals to navigate economic turbulence" ["alias"]=> string(60) "embrace-quality-fundamentals-to-navigate-economic-turbulence" ["introtext"]=> string(278) "

In the face of potential economic challenges, ECP Asset Management's portfolio manager and ESG head, Jason Pohl, has underscored the importance of high-quality companies with strong fundamentals when it comes to withstanding market volatility and a potential recession.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2675) "

Pohl advises that businesses in Australia and abroad should concentrate on building robustness to navigate through high inflation, tight labour markets, and declining consumer demand.

"With the spectre of a recession looming, companies in Australia and globally should be focusing on building resilience in the face of escalating costs, high inflation, tight labour markets, and dwindling consumer demand," stated Pohl, emphasizing the need for strategic fortitude. "Meeting these challenges head on will ensure competitive excellence through these cycles and provide a higher chance of emerging successful on the other side."

Pohl further suggests that rather than being deterred by flat or falling growth, investors ought to seek out enterprises that are strategically positioning themselves for expansion beyond short-term disruptions. "Identifying companies with clean balance sheets, loyal customer bases, and management teams that understand their value proposition and competitive advantage is really important," said Pohl. He identifies these characteristics as critical in the current market, which is expected to experience turbulence.

Amidst these market conditions, Pohl recommends companies make the most of the downturn by reinvesting in enhancing their business efficiency and productivity, which are essential for sustained success. "This period should be used to re-evaluate the business model including the current processes and systems in place," he mentioned, encouraging businesses to optimise their current workforce and potentially adopt new systems like Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) to streamline operations and reduce expenses.

PWR Cooling, an Australian listed automotive cooling firm, is highlighted by Pohl as a company that embodies the sorts of attributes necessary to reinvest in systems and processes that will deliver long-term benefits. "PWR is focused on its niche core competency, continually reinforcing its competitive advantage, and growing its economic footprint sustainably over the long term," Pohl illustrated.

Pohl appreciates PWR's proactive strategy in securing aerospace, military contracts and in probing into the electric vehicle cooling market, despite its challenges in sourcing skilled labor. Innovative workforce training programs he noted, have been a solution to improve labor retention.

"Over the next two to three years, we believe there will be a lot of opportunity for PWR because of its ability to reinvest and stand out in these times of volatility,” Pohl asserted, expressing confidence in the company's future amidst uncertain economic conditions.

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• Yes

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In the face of potential economic challenges, ECP Asset Management's portfolio manager and ESG head, Jason Pohl, has underscored the importance of high-quality companies with strong fundamentals when it comes to withstanding market volatility and a potential recession.

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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(87) "/invest-money/stock-market/embrace-quality-fundamentals-to-navigate-economic-turbulence" ["image"]=> string(136) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1655100402/Nestegg/article-826x550/stock-market-rise-growth-ne.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(60) "Embrace quality fundamentals to navigate economic turbulence" } }