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The landscape for start-up funding in Australia has been increasingly challenging, but this has not dampened the spirit of the country's entrepreneurs.

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According to a recent survey conducted by Herbert Smith Freehills (HSF), Australian start-up founders are facing the difficult fundraising environment with a mix of resilience and strategic adjustment, while still nurturing hopes for higher valuations and successful capital raises in the near future.

The survey, which marks the second annual exploration of sentiments among start-up founders by HSF, uncovered that a significant 73% of founders perceive the current fundraising environment to be more challenging compared to 2022. Furthermore, a notable 84% acknowledged that these conditions are influencing their business strategies. Despite these challenges, a majority remain hopeful, with 91% recognising the need for start-ups to achieve profitability sooner due to market conditions. Moreover, 74% of the respondents are optimistic about raising capital in the next 12 months, and 60% believe their next raise will surpass their last post-money valuation.

Elizabeth Henderson, HSF partner and Co-Head of Venture Capital in Australia, shared insights into how founders are navigating these testing times. "A couple of years into the new capital fundraising climate for start-ups, founders are more accepting of the economic challenges that they are facing, and more are pursuing a path to profitability over growth, funded by new capital," she explained.

The survey also highlighted that only 25% of the companies are considering a liquidity event in the next 12 months, mirroring a broader preference for achieving profitability over seeking exits. Claire Thompson, Co-Head of Venture Capital in Australia at HSF, noted that the trend of bridging rounds preceding series or priced rounds is becoming less common among founders. Only 38% of respondents indicated their companies would consider such rounds before their next major funding milestone.

This pragmatic approach to funding is also reflected in founders' tempered expectations regarding valuations. While a majority are hopeful about surpassing their last post-money valuation in their next round, more than a third of respondents expressed uncertainty or anticipation of a down round.

Clayton James, another HSF partner, hypothesised that 2024 might see a rise in secondary transactions, especially among profitable start-ups, as early investors and employees look for liquidity and new investors seek entry points into successful companies. James highlighted recent deals involving firms like Canva and Employment Hero as evidence of a strong interest in these types of transactions.

Finally, while acknowledging the ongoing challenges, the survey revealed an enduring optimism among Australian start-up founders. Sixty-two percent of respondents expressed a positive outlook on the long-term prospects for start-ups in the nation, suggesting a collective confidence that persists despite the current fundraising conditions.

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The landscape for start-up funding in Australia has been increasingly challenging, but this has not dampened the spirit of the country's entrepreneurs.

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The US economy may be steering towards a 'soft landing' despite mixed signals from the stock market, according to a recent analysis by ClearBridge Investments.

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Their 'Anatomy of a Recession' report has found that while certain economic indicators are positive, equities may not follow suit due to various concerns, warranting cautious optimism among investors.

Jeffrey Schulze, Director and Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, provided insights into the complex relationship between the economy and the stock market. "It is important for investors to keep in mind that the stock market is not the economy, and a soft landing appears to already be priced into equity markets," Schulze noted.

As the labour market continues to demonstrate resilience, Schulze pointed out that the recent layoffs are more indicative of seasonal trends rather than economic decline. "The labour market does not show many signs of slowing," he said. "Recent layoff announcements are not surprising, as this time of year typically sees the largest amount of workforce reductions."

Despite signs that could be interpreted as optimistic, ClearBridge remains cautious. "While we are incrementally more optimistic on the economy than we were at year end, we remain cautious on equities due to earnings and valuation concerns," Schulze added.

Schulze also highlighted the significance of jobless claims as an indicator to watch. "Although jobless claims have been on the rise recently, they are coming back from a historically low level and would need to rise meaningfully in order to cross back into red or recessionary territory," he explained.

With respect to equity markets, the analysis maintains a guarded stance. Schulze pointed out that the S&P 500 Index's current valuations may leave little room for errors or unforeseen market challenges. "The S&P 500 Index is trading at 19.8x next-12-month earnings expectations, well above historical averages," he remarked.

Additionally, as the reporting season progresses, Schulze emphasized that the market's reception to corporate performances shows a low tolerance for underperformance. "Guidance from several bellwethers has been disappointing and accompanied by substantial moves lower for the stocks," he observed. This suggests that the market has high expectations, which are not being met when companies fail to hit sales and earnings targets.

ClearBridge's analysis suggests that while the economy might be heading towards a soft landing, the outlook for equities remains uncertain. Caution, coupled with a focus on quality, is advised by Schulze given the complex market dynamics currently at play.

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, proper" ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["check_access_rights"]=> int(0) ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2024-02-11 18:39:07" ["slug"]=> string(78) "18449:signs-point-to-possible-us-economic-soft-landing-in-clearbridge-analysis" ["event"]=> object(stdClass)#8609 (3) { ["afterDisplayTitle"]=> string(0) "" ["beforeDisplayContent"]=> string(132) "

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The US economy may be steering towards a 'soft landing' despite mixed signals from the stock market, according to a recent analysis by ClearBridge Investments.

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Alternative investment fund managers are predicting a sizable increase in capital raising efforts in 2024, according to a global study by Ocorian, a leading alternative investment fund administrator.

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The study, which interviewed managers across different regions, including Europe, Asia, the Middle East, North America, and the UK, found that up to 85% expect a hike in capital raising at their companies compared to 2023, with nearly one in three forecasting a surge of 50% or more.

This optimism extends to new fund launches across the industry, as investors show a keen interest in diversifying their portfolios. The study reveals that almost all managers believe there will be an increase in the level of fund launches across all major alternative fund asset classes, including infrastructure, private debt, venture capital, real estate and private equity.

The key driver behind this bullish sentiment is the investors' growing desire to diversify, with 68% of managers highlighting this reason. It outpaces concerns about fixed-income market volatility and difficulties, which 65% of managers indicated as driving interest towards alternative assets.

Nearly half of the managers surveyed also noted that there are more opportunities now in the alternatives asset space, and 41% believe that improved regulation in these markets is fostering increased interest.

Yegor Lanovenko, Co-Head of Fund Services at Ocorian, expressed high confidence in the sector for the upcoming year. “There is a high level of confidence about the year ahead among alternative fund managers both for their own funds and for the sector as a whole, with different regional sentiments emerging,” he said.

Lanovenko also pointed out that managers in the US and Asia exhibit stronger sentiment for 2024 than their European counterparts. He linked the expected rise in capital raising and a surge in fund launches to growing investor appetite, suggesting that market conditions such as peak inflationary and interest rates environments are influencing these expectations.

Highlighting the operational impacts of this anticipated surge, Lanovenko added, “This expected surge in capital raising and fund launches turns the spotlight on efficiency and operational excellence, and fund managers increasingly rely on expert support and trusted partners to handle their fund launches and operations at scale.”

It's evident that the trend towards diversification and alternative asset classes is on the rise, and industry professionals are taking strides to prepare for an eventful 2024 in the world of alternative investments.

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Alternative investment fund managers are predicting a sizable increase in capital raising efforts in 2024, according to a global study by Ocorian, a leading alternative investment fund administrator.

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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(85) "/invest-money/economy/alternative-fund-managers-predict-capital-raising-surge-in-2024" ["image"]=> string(134) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1654602500/Defence%20Connect/Blue_Dot_Network_Infrastructure.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(63) "Alternative fund managers predict capital raising surge in 2024" } [3]=> object(stdClass)#8123 (57) { ["id"]=> int(18407) ["title"]=> string(63) "Understanding the economic indicators that affect your earnings" ["alias"]=> string(63) "understanding-the-economic-indicators-that-affect-your-earnings" ["introtext"]=> string(110) "

The landscape of personal finance is profoundly influenced by broader economic trends and indicators.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(4865) "

For Australians, understanding these indicators is crucial for making informed decisions about investments, savings, and employment. This article delves into several key economic indicators and elucidates their impact on individual earnings.

Decoding economic indicators impacting your earnings

Gross domestic product (GDP)

GDP measures the total value of goods and services produced within a country. It’s a primary indicator of economic health.

A rising GDP typically signals a growing economy, leading to higher wages and more job opportunities. Conversely, a declining GDP suggests economic contraction, potentially leading to layoffs or reduced earnings.

Unemployment rate

The unemployment rate, the percentage of the jobless labour force, directly affects earnings. High unemployment often leads to lower wage growth as employers have more potential employees to choose from. Conversely, low unemployment can drive wages up, as businesses compete for a smaller pool of workers.

Inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Inflation measures how much the general level of prices for goods and services is rising. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key measure of inflation, tracking the cost of a standard basket of goods and services over time.

High inflation erodes the purchasing power of earnings, meaning that even if your wage increases, your buying power may not.

Interest rates

Set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), interest rates influence borrowing costs and savings returns.

Higher rates can reduce disposable income for those with variable-rate debts, like mortgages, but can benefit savers through higher returns on deposits. Lower interest rates generally aim to stimulate spending and investment but can reduce the income from savings.

Housing market trends

For many Australians, their home is their largest asset. Trends in the housing market can significantly affect net worth and financial security.

Rising house prices can increase homeowner equity, potentially leading to increased spending or investment capacity. However, a declining market can have the opposite effect, reducing net worth and financial confidence.

Stock market performance

While not directly affecting everyone’s daily earnings, the stock market’s performance can influence consumer and business confidence, which can impact the broader economy. A strong stock market can boost retirement account values and create wealth, encouraging spending and investment.

Exchange rates

The strength of the Australian dollar impacts the cost of imported goods and overseas travel. A strong dollar makes imports cheaper, potentially reducing costs for consumers and businesses. However, it can also make Australian exports more expensive, impacting sectors like tourism and export-oriented industries.

Government fiscal policy

Government spending and tax policies can directly affect disposable income. Policies aimed at stimulating economic growth, such as tax cuts or increased public spending, can increase disposable income and boost consumer spending.

Global economic trends

In today’s interconnected world, global economic trends can have a significant impact on the Australian economy. Events like trade wars, global pandemics, or financial crises in other countries can affect Australia’s export markets, investment flows, and overall economic stability.

—

Understanding these economic indicators is essential for making informed decisions about your finances. They provide a context for interpreting changes in the job market, the value of investments, and the cost of living.

By staying informed and adapting to these economic signals, individuals can better navigate the financial landscape and protect their earnings.

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, proper" ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["check_access_rights"]=> int(0) ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2023-12-10 22:00:47" ["slug"]=> string(69) "18407:understanding-the-economic-indicators-that-affect-your-earnings" ["event"]=> object(stdClass)#8631 (3) { ["afterDisplayTitle"]=> string(0) "" ["beforeDisplayContent"]=> string(132) "

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The landscape of personal finance is profoundly influenced by broader economic trends and indicators.

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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(85) "/invest-money/economy/understanding-the-economic-indicators-that-affect-your-earnings" ["image"]=> string(155) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1701140526/Understanding_the_economic_indicators_that_affect_your_earnings_wzbium.png" ["image_alt"]=> string(63) "Understanding the economic indicators that affect your earnings" } [4]=> object(stdClass)#8122 (57) { ["id"]=> int(18393) ["title"]=> string(69) "Navigate market turbulence with expert advice: no crystal ball needed" ["alias"]=> string(68) "navigate-market-turbulence-with-expert-advice-no-crystal-ball-needed" ["introtext"]=> string(255) "

In an era fraught with investment market uncertainties, from fluctuating interest rates to geopolitical strife, seasoned market experts are guiding investors through the mire, offering sage advice on safeguarding investments against market whims.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2667) "

AMP's Shane Oliver, renowned for his industry expertise, emphasizes the lack of predictability in investment markets, cautioning investors about the risks of short-term distractions.

Dr Oliver remarked, “It would be nice if the investment world was neat and predictable, but it’s well known for sucking investors in during good times and spitting them out during bad times.” His insights spotlight the increased difficulty in navigating the investment terrain due to an overwhelming influx of information and opinion.

He advocates for steadiness in the face of volatility, encouraging investors to look past the turbulence. “Investment markets go through cyclical swings... The trouble is that cycles can throw investors off a well thought out investment strategy that aims to take advantage of the power of compounding longer-term returns. But cycles also create opportunities,” Dr Oliver explains, referencing the recent market downturn that was later followed by a robust rebound.

Dr Oliver urges a long-term view, highlighting the pitfalls of short-term forecasting amid uncertainties. He prioritises the need for diversification and straightforwardness, emphasizing a well-balanced portfolio and a focus on overarching asset allocation. “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Having a well-diversified portfolio will provide a much smoother ride,” he acknowledges, also advising skeptics to avoid intricate and obtuse investment options laden with obscure valuations.

The significance of professional guidance and steering clear of the herd mentality is also underscored by Dr Oliver, especially during moments when the market reaches its zeniths or nadirs.

Echoing this perspective, Jamie Nicol from DNR Capital identifies the silver linings in the current climate of uncertainty, perceiving them as chances to acquire valuable stocks at appealing prices. Nicol recognizes the immediate hazards of a high-interest-rate climate but advocates for a foresighted stance.

“Investors should look through the short term and think about what these companies are going to look like in three to five years,” Nicol suggests, identifying promising investments, especially in undervalued businesses with resilient outlooks and cyclical stocks that will likely fare well when interest rates reach their zenith.

Nicol concludes with a hopeful note for investors willing to peer beyond the current cycle, highlighting potential opportunities in the dynamic environment. With the guidance of these experts, investors can navigate market unpredictability without the need for a 'crystal ball.'

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• Yes

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In an era fraught with investment market uncertainties, from fluctuating interest rates to geopolitical strife, seasoned market experts are guiding investors through the mire, offering sage advice on safeguarding investments against market whims.

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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has postponed an important meeting scheduled for the weekend, suggesting potential discord among members, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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The delay, reportedly due to troubles in discussions between Saudi and African members, indicates that the proposed additional cut of 1 million barrels per day (mbpd) might not be enough to sustainably boost oil prices.

The decision to hold off the meeting emerges from indications that the market did not rally as expected on news that Saudi Arabia may double its production reductions. Ozkardeskaya highlights, "Saudi likely sensed in this week’s poor price action - ‘buy the fact that Saudi will double its production cuts’ action - that 1mbpd extra cut wouldn’t send the oil prices higher, sustainably." It appears the nation is now seeking more substantial commitments from its fellow OPEC members, a process that seems to be fraught with difficulty.

Historically, Saudi Arabia has played the role of 'swing producer,' capable of balancing the global oil markets by adjusting its production levels to stabilize prices. However, Ozkardeskaya notes a change that occurred in the 1980s where "Saudi Arabia has shifted its strategy and opted for a market share approach," a tactic that dramatically increased production and led to an oversupply in the global oil market.

The current situation sees the American crude barrel price waver, dropping to $73.50 per barrel then recovering to $76, while Brent crude fell below $80 per barrel before rebounding. These market movements come amidst broader concerns over a global slowdown, overshadowing fears of supply restrictions.

The article also sheds light on other economic projections, pointing to Germany's slashed growth forecasts for 2024 due to constitutional issues around government spending, and the UK's downgraded estimates, despite tax relief measures announced by Jeremy Hunt. For the UK, even with the alluring "100% tax relief – on companies’ capital spending," the overall tax burden is expected to increase, reaching a high not seen since the post-World War II era.

Adding to economic pressures, disinflation appears to be on the horizon in the US, making this year's Thanksgiving more affordable. Adobe Analytics anticipates a 5.4% increase in Thanksgiving shopping, a figure that remarkably disregards a 12% growth adjusted for online deflation. Yet, this consumer spending is not entirely positive, as it partly stems from savings and debt, hinting at sustainability issues.

As Thanksgiving approaches, the US sees a drop in the costs of traditional holiday items, providing some relief to consumers. However, traders should brace for potentially erratic markets due to thin trading volumes typical of the holiday period.

In conclusion, Ozkardeskaya warns of the potential volatility in trading, "Thanksgiving is one of the calmest trading days of the year. Expect thin trading volumes and higher volatility." The intersecting narratives of OPEC negotiations, nationwide tax policies, and consumer spending patterns weave a complex picture of the global economic environment heading into the year's end.

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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has postponed an important meeting scheduled for the weekend, suggesting potential discord among members, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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string(0) "" } [4]=> object(stdClass)#8680 (33) { ["id"]=> int(4) ["title"]=> string(9) "Video URL" ["name"]=> string(9) "video-url" ["checked_out"]=> NULL ["checked_out_time"]=> NULL ["note"]=> string(0) "" ["state"]=> int(1) ["access"]=> int(1) ["created_time"]=> string(19) "2020-06-19 05:54:21" ["created_user_id"]=> int(2351) ["ordering"]=> int(1) ["language"]=> string(1) "*" ["fieldparams"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#8309 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#8307 (2) { ["filter"]=> string(0) "" ["maxlength"]=> string(0) "" } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["params"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#8308 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#8336 (10) { ["hint"]=> string(0) "" ["class"]=> string(0) "" ["label_class"]=> string(0) "" ["show_on"]=> string(1) "2" ["render_class"]=> string(0) "" ["showlabel"]=> string(1) "1" ["label_render_class"]=> string(0) "" ["display"]=> string(1) "2" ["layout"]=> string(0) "" 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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(110) "/invest-money/economy/opec-delays-crucial-meeting-amidst-challenging-negotiations-and-global-economic-concerns" ["image"]=> string(137) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1687932795/Accountants%20Daily/inflation-arrows-coins-ad_hveitn.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(88) "OPEC delays crucial meeting amidst challenging negotiations and global economic concerns" } }