Invest
Treasury expects 10% unemployment
Speaking at Parliament House today, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has outlined just how much of a drag COVID-19 could have on the nation’s workforce.
Treasury expects 10% unemployment
Speaking at Parliament House today, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has outlined just how much of a drag COVID-19 could have on the nation’s workforce.
He conceded that “the economic shock facing the global economy from the coronavirus is far more significant than what was seen during the global financial crisis over a decade ago”.
The Treasury’s newest calculations have led it to expect the unemployment rate to rise to 10 per cent in the June quarter, from 5.1 per cent in the most recent data.
He also conceded that the unemployment percentage hike is likely to last as long as health restrictions remain in place.
According to Mr Frydenberg, in the absence of the $130 billion JobKeeper payment, which was approved by Parliament last week, Treasury has also estimated that the unemployment rate would be five percentage points higher – peaking around 15 per cent.

“The JobKeeper package is providing an economic lifeline to millions of Australians,” Mr Frydenberg said.
“At $130 billion, it’s a wage subsidy the size, scale and scope of which Australia has never seen before.”
“The unemployment rise is very concerning, but it’s also a reflection of the economic challenges we face.”
“Our ultimate focus is to keep people working,” the Treasurer acknowledged.
He highlighted that more than 800,000 businesses have already registered for the JobKeeper payment, “which will allow the economy to recover more quickly once we are through to the other side of the crisis”.
More to come.
About the author
About the author
Economy
Inflation concerns grow as consumer price index rises, prompting potential interest rate hikes
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has sparked fresh concerns about inflation in Australia, with experts suggesting that further interest rate hikes may be on the horizon. The CPI, a key ...Read more
Economy
State Street economist comments on latest labour force data amid market anticipation
The latest labour force data, released today, has prompted a measured response from financial experts, with insights provided by Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC Economist at State Street Investment ...Read more
Economy
RBA's interest rate hike impacts Australian employment landscape
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to increase interest rates by 25 basis points, raising the cash rate to 3.85%. This move, aimed at controlling inflation, has elicited responses from ...Read more
Economy
RBA’s latest rate hike sparks debate over economic impact
In a surprising move, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has increased the cash rate, signalling a significant shift in its monetary policy approach. This decision comes amid a backdrop of unexpected ...Read more
Economy
When inflation reopens the rate door: A broker-sector case study in defending margins, clients and share
Australia’s latest trimmed-mean inflation reading at 3.3% has revived the prospect of another Reserve Bank move and put lenders, brokers and borrowers back on a tightening footing. This case study ...Read more
Economy
Inflation rise dampens hopes for interest rate cuts as employment dynamics shift
In a development that has dashed hopes for an interest rate cut, Australia's Consumer Price Index (CPI) has surged back to 3.8%, erasing the progress made since October. This unexpected rise in ...Read more
Economy
Inflation surge poses challenges for small businesses and consumers
The latest inflation figures have sparked concern among Australian businesses and consumers alike, with the rising costs expected to influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) upcoming interest ...Read more
Economy
Australia’s spending surprise raises the odds of a February rate move — here’s how to protect margin and momentum
Household outlays are running hotter than economists expected, with the latest ABS readings showing broad-based gains across services and goods. That resilience is exactly the kind of demand impulse ...Read more
Economy
Inflation concerns grow as consumer price index rises, prompting potential interest rate hikes
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has sparked fresh concerns about inflation in Australia, with experts suggesting that further interest rate hikes may be on the horizon. The CPI, a key ...Read more
Economy
State Street economist comments on latest labour force data amid market anticipation
The latest labour force data, released today, has prompted a measured response from financial experts, with insights provided by Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC Economist at State Street Investment ...Read more
Economy
RBA's interest rate hike impacts Australian employment landscape
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to increase interest rates by 25 basis points, raising the cash rate to 3.85%. This move, aimed at controlling inflation, has elicited responses from ...Read more
Economy
RBA’s latest rate hike sparks debate over economic impact
In a surprising move, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has increased the cash rate, signalling a significant shift in its monetary policy approach. This decision comes amid a backdrop of unexpected ...Read more
Economy
When inflation reopens the rate door: A broker-sector case study in defending margins, clients and share
Australia’s latest trimmed-mean inflation reading at 3.3% has revived the prospect of another Reserve Bank move and put lenders, brokers and borrowers back on a tightening footing. This case study ...Read more
Economy
Inflation rise dampens hopes for interest rate cuts as employment dynamics shift
In a development that has dashed hopes for an interest rate cut, Australia's Consumer Price Index (CPI) has surged back to 3.8%, erasing the progress made since October. This unexpected rise in ...Read more
Economy
Inflation surge poses challenges for small businesses and consumers
The latest inflation figures have sparked concern among Australian businesses and consumers alike, with the rising costs expected to influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) upcoming interest ...Read more
Economy
Australia’s spending surprise raises the odds of a February rate move — here’s how to protect margin and momentum
Household outlays are running hotter than economists expected, with the latest ABS readings showing broad-based gains across services and goods. That resilience is exactly the kind of demand impulse ...Read more
